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The Algorithm for Rate-Referenced Iterative Analysis of Game Activity (ARRIAGA) uses game data to estimate each NCAA team's offensive and defensive effectiveness, adjusted for the strength of the opposing defenses and offenses that team has faced in the current season. This yields offensive and defensive effectiveness ratings for each team versus a hypothetical average opponent at the NCAA level. From there, the calculated effectiveness ratings are used to simulate the outcomes of contests between all possible pairings of NCAA teams, and the win-loss records that arise from these outcomes are used to rank teams for The FOSH's weekly ARRIAGA Rankings.

Definitions

Offense - Rating based on a team's expected goals scored versus a hypothetical average opponent at the NCAA level.

Defense - Rating based on a team's expected goals-against versus a hypothetical average opponent at the NCAA level.

Rating Color Codes